Active Into March

Snowiest February on Record for Denver, CO

February, no doubt, has been very snowy across the Front Range. This was the view from Lakewood, CO (suburb of Denver) earlier today and not how much snow is on the ground!

2.27.15 lakewood

Denver has seen 22.2″ of snow so far this month, which is good enough for the snowiest February in recorded history!

2.27.15 denver

Snyder, TX

This was the view from Snyder, TX earlier today as wintry precip was moving through the area. Keep in mind that this is the 3rd wintry precip event in the past week for some of these areas!

2.27.15 snyder

Winter Weather Headlines

2.27.15 WinterHeadlines

 Unsettled weather moving into the western and central U.S.

“Increasing moisture and colder air will filter into the Pacific Northwest Friday and into Saturday. Expect rain to start near the coast and then begin to spread steadily to the south and east into the interior mountains as snow Friday into Saturday. Enough moisture will be pushed eastward to also see snow in the central and southern Rockies and adjacent Plains Friday.”

Snowfall Potential Through PM Sunday

(Image courtesy NWS and WeatherBell)

2.27.15 nat snow

Storm System Next Week

The storm system currently in place over the Western U.S. will become the weather maker in the eastern half of the country by the early/middle of next week. Note where the solid blue line (freezing line) is; anything north of this line would be wintry precip/snow while anything south of it would be rain/thunderstorms. There is a possibility of a stormy PM Tuesday/Wednesday across the middle part of the country with heavy rain!

2.27.15 Wed

7 Day Precipitation Outlook

According to NOAA’s HPC, the 7 day precipitation outlook looks quite impressive across the western half of the country and also across the Ohio/Tennessee Valley. While some heavy snow would be likely across the higher elevations out west, thunderstorm ,

2.27.15 HPC 7 day

Thanks for checking in and have a great rest of your Friday/Weekend ahead! Don’t forget to follow me on Twitter @TNelsonWX

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Southern Snow Breaking Records – But Is A Warm Up Coming?

Records Broken in Huntsville

Huntsville Webcam

The snow has departed the Huntsville, AL, area overnight, leaving them and other areas of the south looking like a winter wonderland – just a few days before the start of meteorological Spring on March 1st!

Huntsville Daily Record

Huntsville officially saw 8.1″ of snow Wednesday, making it their snowiest day in February history! This was also the second highest daily total in Huntsville recorded history – the most was back on December 31, 1963, when 15.7″ fell.

Huntsville Monthly Record

Meanwhile, yesterdays snow helps bring the monthly total up to 8.7″ for Huntsville, making it the snowiest February in recorded history! The previous record was 8.0″ set back in both 1895 and 1958. The 8.7″ Huntsville has seen so far this month is also their total for this winter – and would rank as the ninth snowiest season on record.

[Forecast: Huntsville]

Southern Snow Totals

Swathof6InchTotals

A large swath of snow fell over the past 36 hours all the way from Texas to Virginia. The map above only shows totals that were six inches or greater reported to local National Weather Service offices.

NorthernALTotals

There was a large cluster of six inch or more totals in northern Alabama, north of Birmingham and Anniston. Some of these places picked up over a foot of snow – something quite unusual for this part of the nation!

[Map: Snow and Storm Reports]

AL Snow Totals

Here were some of the highest snow totals across northern Alabama – where places with Guin and Hamilton picked up at least a foot of snow!

MS Snow Totals

Over in Mississippi, the top end snow totals were a little less – 10″ in both Furrs and Tremont – but still impressive for this portion of the nation!

SnowDepth

According to NOAA, 51.1% of the nation has snow on the ground as of early this morning. The only state in the lower 48 that does not have snow somewhere on the ground is Florida. That snow cover extends all the way down to almost Jackson, MS, Birmingham, AL, and Atlanta, GA!

Southeast Warm Up

850 Temps GIF

We’ll see a pattern change over the next few days across the United States, with a ridge building over the Gulf of Mexico, helping to bring warmer weather back to the Southeast and potentially quickly melt some of that snow.

[National Forecast Highs Over The Next Few Days]

ATL 7 Day

The cooler weather, though, will stick around through the weekend in the Atlanta area, with highs only in the 40s through Sunday before that quick warm up occurs. Upper 60s are possible by next Wednesday

NASCAR

While we won’t be worrying about snow on Sunday, there is the chance of showers as well as cool temperatures for the Sprint Cup Series NASCAR race at Atlanta Motor Speedway. We’ll have to see if the we can get the race in Sunday afternoon.

Western Snow

Western Forecast GIF

Meanwhile, further west, we will be watching as we head into Friday and the weekend the potential of some snow from Denver to northern Texas – with some freezing rain possible for Oklahoma City and Dallas. The Sierra Nevada could also pick up on some snow heading into the weekend – which would be some good news for the state of California, where at least nine ski resorts are closed right now due to a lack of snow.

[Forecast: DenverOklahoma CityAlbuquerque]

WesternSnowForecast
NWS forecast snowfall amounts over the next three days. Image: WeatherBell

Here is a map of snow totals for the western U.S. over the next three days. While some areas of the Rockies will pick up on feet of snow, the Sierra Nevadas may be lucky to pick up a foot.

[Track Winter Weather: Interactive Radar]

DJ Kayser web2

Meteorologist D.J. Kayser

Find me on Twitter (@dkayserwx) or on Facebook (Meteorologist D.J. Kayser)

Another Major Southern Snow / Ice Event

Wednesday, February 25th

This is what it looked like earlier today near Des Moines, IA prior to any major snow moving in. A fast moving clipper will drop nearly 6″+ across parts of central Iowa through late tonight.

2.25.15 windsor heights

Winter Storm Warning

…WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM CST THIS
EVENING…

* SHORT TERM TRENDS…MODERATE TO HEAVY SNOW WILL PERSIST OVER
NORTHERN IOWA AND SPREAD SOUTH INTO CENTRAL IOWA LATER IN THE
MORNING. THE SNOW WILL THEN LAST THROUGH THE AFTERNOON INTO THE
EARLY EVENING HOURS.

* STORM TOTAL SNOW…7 TO 10 INCHES.

* WINDS/VISIBILITY…WINDS WILL INITIALLY BE EAST AT AROUND 10
MPH BUT INCREASE TO 10 TO 20 MPH HEADING TOWARD SUNSET AS THEY
BECOME MORE NORTHERLY. VISIBILITIES WILL OFTEN BE A MILE OR
LESS DURING PERIODS OF HEAVY SNOW.

* IMPACTS…SNOWFALL RATES MAY REACH AN INCH OR MORE PER HOUR AT
TIMES LEADING TO SNOW COVERED ROADS AND HAZARDOUS DRIVING
CONDITIONS. MINOR BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW MAY ALSO LEAD TO
DIFFICULT DRIVING CONDITIONS THIS EVENING EVEN AFTER THE
HEAVIEST SNOW HAS ENDED.

2.25.15 ia winter

IA Winter Storm

Snow will spread from northwest to southeast across Iowa today, then gradually clear out tonight leaving behind a swath of moderate to heavy accumulation. Bitter cold weather will then settle over region once again from late tonight into Saturday morning with near record cold possible at times. Snow chances will then return from the weekend into early next week. #iawx #iowaweather

2.25.15 IA Snow

National Weather Outlook

Not only is the Midwest under the gun for some significant snow today, but the southern tier of the nation could see more significant snow/ice through Thursday. Also note the ongoing snowfall potential across the Rockies with more snow moving into Texas by late this week!

Dallas, TX

The EarthCam.com webcam from Dallas, TX earlier today showed wintry precipitation falling across the city for the second time this week!

Take a look at the latest EarthCam.com view HERE:

2.25.15 dallas

Another Winter Storm in the South

“On Wednesday, precipitation will spread eastward along the Gulf Coast, affecting portions of the Southeast and Tennessee valley. Cold air in place will allow for a mix of wintry precipitation from northern Texas eastward across the central and northern Gulf Coast states and into portions of the Carolinas.”

2.25.15 SE WinterHeads

Storm Impacts By City…

Dallas: Winter Weather Advisory

…WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON CST
TODAY…

* TIMING…NOW THROUGH NOON TODAY. A RAIN/SNOW MIX SHOULD SWITCH
OVER TO MAINLY SNOW AFTER 6 AM.

* PRECIPITATION TYPE…SNOW.

* ACCUMULATIONS…1 TO 4 INCHES POSSIBLE WITHIN THE ADVISORY. THE
HIGHEST AMOUNTS WILL LIKELY FALL ALONG THE INTERSTATE 20
CORRIDOR.

Little Rock, AR: Winter Weather Advisory

…WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS
EVENING…

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS
EVENING.

* EVENT: SNOW…POSSIBLY MIXED WITH SLEET AT THE ONSET…WILL
FALL DURING THE DAY WEDNESDAY.

* AREAS AFFECTED: GENERALLY IN AREAS FROM NEAR CONWAY…TO
SEARCY…TO AUGUSTA. THIS INCLUDES HOT SPRINGS AND LITTLE ROCK.

* TIMING: SNOW WILL DEVELOP THIS MORNING…AND WILL POSSIBLY BE
MIXED WITH SLEET INITIALLY. THE SNOW WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE
AFTERNOON HOURS…BEFORE TAPERING OFF DURING THE LATE
AFTERNOON.

Huntsville, AL: Winter Storm Warning

…WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM THIS MORNING
TO 3 AM CST THURSDAY…

* TIMING AND AREAS AFFECTED…ALL COUNTIES IN NORTHERN ALABAMA AND
SOUTHERN MIDDLE TENNESSEE FROM 9 AM CST TODAY THROUGH 3 AM CST
THURSDAY.

* ACCUMULATIONS…4 TO 6 INCHES OF SNOW SOUTH OF THE TENNESSEE
RIVER…AND 3 TO 5 INCHES ELSEWHERE…EXCEPT 2 TO 3 INCHES IN
SOUTHERN MIDDLE TENNESSEE.

Atlanta, GA: Winter Storm Warning

…WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM THIS MORNING
TO 10 AM EST THURSDAY…

* LOCATIONS…GENERALLY NORTH OF A LINE FROM BUCHANAN TO ROSWELL
TO JEFFERSON.

* HAZARD TYPES…SNOW. BLACK ICE WILL ALSO CAUSE SLICK ROADS
THURSDAY MORNING.

* ACCUMULATIONS…3 TO 6 INCHES. LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE
IN THE MOUNTAINS.

* TIMING…10 AM TODAY THROUGH 10 AM THURSDAY.

Raleigh, NC: Winter Storm Warning

…WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING
TO NOON EST THURSDAY…

* LOCATIONS…TRIANGLE…NORTHERN PIEDMONT…AND NORTHERN
COASTAL PLAIN.

* HAZARD TYPES…RESIDUAL SNOW AND ICE ON AREA ROADS WILL RESULT
IN DANGEROUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS THIS MORNING. ADDITIONALLY…SIGNIFICANT
SNOW ACCUMULATION IS EXPECTED TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING.

* ACCUMULATIONS…SNOW ACCUMULATION OF 4 TO 8 INCHES…WITH
LOCALIZED SLIGHTLY HIGHER AMOUNTS…FOLLOWED BY A GLAZE OF
LIGHT FREEZING RAIN OR FREEZING DRIZZLE EARLY THURSDAY.

* TIMING…MODERATE TO OCCASIONALLY HEAVY SNOW WILL OVERSPREAD
CENTRAL NC THIS EVENING AND CONTINUE OVERNIGHT. PRECIPITATION
WILL TAPER TO LIGHT FREEZING RAIN OR FREEZING DRIZZLE THURSDAY
MORNING…BEFORE ENDING AROUND MIDDAY THURSDAY.

Norfolk, VA: Winter Storm Warning

…WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 1 PM
EST THURSDAY…

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN WAKEFIELD HAS ISSUED A WINTER
STORM WARNING FOR…WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO
1 PM EST THURSDAY. THE WINTER STORM WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT.

* LOCATIONS: FAR SOUTHEAST VIRGINIA AND PORTIONS OF INTERIOR
NORTHEAST NORTH CAROLINA.

* HAZARDS: SNOW AND SLEET.

* ACCUMULATIONS: 3 TO 6 INCHES OF SNOW AND SLEET. A LIGHT ICE ACCUMULATION
OF LESS THAN 0.1 INCHES IS POSSIBLE IN NORTH CAROLINA.

* TIMING: SNOW…POSSIBLY MIXED WITH RAIN AT THE ONSET…ARRIVES
BY THIS EVENING THEN QUICKLY TRANSITIONS TO ALL SNOW AND BECOMES
HEAVY AT TIMES OVERNIGHT. THE SNOW MAY MIX WITH SLEET…AND
POSSIBLY FREEZING RAIN IN NORTH CAROLINA OVERNIGHT. THE
PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED TO TAPER OFF TO LIGHT SNOW OR MIXED
PRECIPITATION THURSDAY MORNING…WITH ONLY MINIMAL ADDITIONAL
ACCUMULATION EXPECTED AFTER 7 AM.

Snowfall Outlook

This is a look at the 48hr snowfall potential across the eastern half of the country. Note the fairly narrow, but heavy snow bands across parts of the Midwest and South/Southeastern part of the country.

2.25.15 48hr Snow

 

Precipitation Outlook Next 3 Days

According to NOAA’s HPC, the 3 day precipitation outlook captures the individual storm systems fairly well. Note the band of precipitation over the South/Southeastern part of the country and again over parts of the Midwest. However, the Western U.S. also looks fairly soggy, which is interesting because a series of storms from the Pacific Ocean and western half of the country will keep things rather active across the eastern half of the country late this week/weekend and early next week.

2.25.15 HPC 3 day

Soggy End of February/Early March

As you may or may not know, the first day of Meteorological Spring is this Sunday (March 1st). According to NOAA’s HPC, the 7 day precipitation outlook shows some pretty significant moisture through the middle of next week. Some models are even projecting a fairly thundery outlook across parts of the Lower Mississippi/Tennessee Valley and Gulf Coast States… Stay tuned for more on that. However, it appears that March could roar in like a lion!

2.25.15 HPC 7 day

 

Thanks for checking in and have a great rest of your week! Don’t forget to follow me on Twitter @TNelsonWX

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Northeast Record Lows And A Southern Wintry Mess

Record Cold This Morning

7AMET_RTMA_Analysis
NCEP RTMA temperature analysis at 7 AM ET. Image: WeatherBell

Another chilly start across much of the U.S. this morning, with almost 82% of the nation reaching a low below freezing! The coldest air was from the Ohio Valley into the Northeast, where some areas dropped below zero and numerous records were broken.

[Map: Current Temperatures]

RecordLows1 RecordLows2

Some places broke their record lows this morning by 10 or more degrees! Check out Dulles Airport – they had a low of -4, breaking their previous record of 14! Quite a chilly start across the region for sure.

WedAMLows

Tomorrow will be warmer across much of the region that saw record lows this morning, but you can already start to see the next blast of cold air starting to work its way into the upper Midwest.

[Forecast: CincinnatiNew York CityWashington DC]

850GIF

And that next batch of cold air from Canada will once again reach areas of the Deep South and the Southeast, with highs in the 30s and 40s for parts of Texas and Arkansas by Friday.

[Forecast: AmarilloOklahoma CityLittle Rock]

Another Winter Mess In The South

stormreports

Parts of the southeast has already received some snow and ice this morning from a departing storm system. This was the same system that brought thundersleet to the Dallas metroplex yesterday morning. There were reports of up to 6″ of snow this morning in parts of North Carolina.

SouthernStormGIF

As this system departs, we watch another upper level impulse move in from the west and a surface low form in the Gulf of Mexico. This will help spread another batch of precipitation – some in the winter variety – across portions of the South and Southeast.

[Forecast: DallasAtlantaCharlotte]

WinterStormWatch
Winter Storm Watches in effect as of 10:20 AM ET February 24, 2015.

Already Winter Storm Watches are in effect from Dallas to Charlotte for this storm for the potential of heavy snow.

ndfd_snow_se_9
NWS snow forecast amounts. Image: WeatherBell

Here is what National Weather Service offices are forecast for snow accumulation over the next few days.

WPC

And here is the probability of at least 1″ of snow from Wednesday to Thursday morning across the country. Not only will the South see snow tomorrow, but parts of the Rockies, Midwest, and Northeast as well.

[Track Winter Weather: Interactive Radar]

If it’s any consultation – Meteorological Spring begins Sunday, and we are less than a month away from Astronomical Spring. Keep thinking warmer weather…

DJ Kayser web2

Meteorologist D.J. Kayser

Find me on Twitter (@dkayserwx) or on Facebook (Meteorologist D.J. Kayser)

Waves of Southern Snow & Ice

Dallas, TX

This was the EarthCam view from Dallas, TX earlier Monday after rounds of wintry precipitation pushed through. Traveling by land or by air today across parts of the southern tier of the nation will be quite problematic.

2.23.15 dallas

“Wintry precipitation for western and southern U.S. through Monday”

“A storm system and arctic cold front will bring winter weather to parts of the western and southern U.S. through Monday. Heavy snow will be possible across higher elevations from California into the Rockies. A wintry mix of snow, sleet, rain and freezing rain will be possible from New Mexico into the Gulf Coast states.”

2.23.15 winter headlines

National Weather Outlook

Weather conditions across the country are still quite active. Note how the storm across the southern tier of the nation moves east through the next few days. Today and Tuesday will feature wintry precip from the Four Corners Region to the Gulf Coast States. By the middle/end of the week, the main wave of energy that is currently over the Four Corner Region will begin sliding along the Gulf Coast States with more wintry precip in places that will be seeing it today and tomorrow.

5 Day Precipitation Outlook

2.23.15 hpc 5 day

Snowfall Potential

2.23.15 nat snow1

Probability of    > 4″ Snow

According to NOAA’s HPC, the probability of 4″ or more across far northern Georgia to parts of the Mid-Atlantic States has gone up to nearly 50% or more! Interestingly.

2.23.15 prob of 4inches

Probability of > 0.10″ Ice

Unfortunately, there going to be a continued threat of freeing rain through midweek with the potential of 0.10″ or more across parts of the Gulf Coast States through the Mid-Atlantic Region.

2.23.15 prob of 0.10 ice

Thanks for checking in and have a great last week of February!

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Southwest Snow and Ice

Happy Sunday!

After a quiet few weeks in the West, the weather is finally becoming more active. A winter storm will push through the Southwest today and tomorrow, dropping up to 18″ of snow in higher elevations of the central and southern Rockies.

Winter Weather Concerns

Snow Over 4 Inches

The panhandle of Texas will also see some wintry precipitation. 2-4″ of snow will pile up through midday tomorrow.

Amarillo, Texas
Amarillo, TX

As this strong area of low pressure continues to push towards the north and east, freezing rain will become an issue through central Texas, parts of Arkansas and Louisiana and eventually the Deep South. Slick road conditions are expected on Monday in these areas.

Freezing Rain

A deep dip in the jet stream across the eastern U.S. will continue to allow cold blasts of Arctic air to invade the North Central states. Wind chill values will be between -35 and -45 tomorrow morning in the Dakotas, Minnesota, and Wisconsin. Frost bite can occur within 10 minutes if skin is not properly covered.

Actual air temperatures today will remain cold through the Upper Midwest.

National Highs

If you’re a NASCAR fan like me, you’ll be tuned in to the Daytona 500 this afternoon! The weather looks beautiful with sunny skies and temperatures in the low 70s. Jeff Gordon is on the pole with Jimmie Johnson starting second. Enjoy the race!

Daytona 500

-Meteorologist Ashley O’Connor
Follow me on Twitter

Another Major Winter Storm

Record-breaking cold continues across eastern U.S., storm system bringing variety of weather hazards to parts of southern U.S.

“Bitterly-cold arctic air is setting numerous temperature records across the eastern U.S. and will keep temperatures well below normal on Friday. Meanwhile, a developing storm system will bring rain and thunderstorms to the lower Mississippi Valley and wintry weather to parts of the Ohio and Tennessee valleys on Friday into Saturday while warm and dry conditions will prevail across the western U.S.”

Here are the latest winter weather headlines that have been posted by the National Weather Service:

2.20.15 Winter Weather

Developing Winter Storm

Note how the storm takes shape over the central part of the country. Heavy snow, sleet and freezing rain will be a big issue over the next couple/few days.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Precipitation Outlook

According to NOAA’s HPC, the 5 day precipitation outlook shows nearly 1″ to 3″+ precipitation potential over parts of the Middle Mississippi/Ohio/Tennessee River Valley.

2.20.15 NAT 5 day

Snowfall Potential

Here’s the snowfall potential through AM Monday…

2.20.15 NAT snow

Thanks for checking in and have a great weekend ahead! Don’t forget to follow me on Twitter @TNelsonWX

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Sweater Weather – And More Snowstorms This Weekend

Cold Weather Continues

FB

Brr! It’s another cold day across the eastern half of the U.S., with some waking up to record lows this morning. Check out some of the coldest lows this morning in the lower 48 across northern Minnesota, dipping all the way to -42 in Cotton, MN!

ThursdayHighs

Check out these expected highs today – another cold day all the way to the Gulf Coast. Might make you wish that you were out west where temperature are above average!

ThursdayHighsDepart

Some of the highs across the eastern half of the U.S. will be a good 30-40 degrees below average for this time of year, as places as far south as Kentucky only reach the single digits above zero for highs.

FridayAMLows
NWS forecast lows tonight across the eastern half of the United States. Circled numbers = potential records. Graphic: WeatherBell

Another night of record lows are possible from the U.P. of Michigan all the way town to Key West, FL! Some could shatter their record by a good 10 degrees, and may be close to all-time coldest February lows.

[Forecast: DetroitLouisvilleAtlantaMiami]

Florida_FriAM_LowsvsRecords

Check out some of these record lows across Florida for tomorrow morning. There is concern for the citrus crop whether or not it will survive some of these bitterly cold temperatures expected.

FridayHighs

The coldest air shifts east on Friday, with moderating temperatures from Minnesota to Kentucky. 30s for highs, however, are still possible as far south as Huntsville and Atlanta.

850

This lobe of cold air continues to slowly work out of the U.S. as we head into the weekend, but another one starts moving south over the central portion of the country as we head into this weekend – meaning the warm up some will see tomorrow will not last!

glsea_cur

This cold air is helping ice coverage increase on the Great Lakes – up to 85.4% yesterday! I would not be surprised with continued cold weather expected through the end of the month if we don’t approach record territory by the time we finally start warming up.

WeekendStorm

Meanwhile, we are tracking two storms this weekend – one that will bring another bought of rain, freezing rain and snow from Texas into the Northeast – and other that could bring a foot of snow to parts of Colorado including Denver. We are closely watching the freezing line on the first storm, as there is the potential a chunk of the precipitation could be in the form of rain or freezing rain in Boston, only adding to the misery and flooding potential.

Track the weekend storms as well as current watches and warnings on our Interactive Map!

DJ Kayser web2

Meteorologist D.J. Kayser

Find me on Twitter (@dkayserwx) or on Facebook (Meteorologist D.J. Kayser)

Extreme Cold Continues!

Cold Weather Continues

This was the view from Chapman’s Mille Lacs Resort and Guide Service in central Minnesota as temperatures dipped into the teens below zero early Wednesday morning.

http://www.millelacsresort.com/webcam.htm

2.18.15 mille lacs webcam

Arctic Plunge

Take a look at actual air temperatures and wind chill values around 10AM CST Wednesday. Note the widespread cold air across the Midwest, where in some cases, it felt more like the -20s and -30s below zero.

2.18.15 meso temps 2.18.15 Meso Wind Chill

Dangerously Cold Wind Chills

Wind Chill headlines have been posted for several locations from the international border to the Gulf Coast Region, including parts of Florida!

2.18.15 wind chill adv

Big Blob of Cold Air

This really is a big blob of cold air, isn’t it? The only few spots seeing any warmth today will be in the Southwest part of the country.

2.18.15 wed temps

Highs Wednesday

Highs today will be quite cold across a much of the eastern two-thirds of the nation. Note that these highs will be nearly -10F to 30F below average!

2.18.15 wed highs

2.18.15 wed highs from avg

Extended Temperature Outlook

According to NOAA’s CPC, the 6 to 10 day temperature outlook through the end of the month, much of the eastern two-thirds of the nation looks to stay MUCH colder than average! Meanwhile, folks along the West Coast and Alaska look to stay above normal!

2.18.15 6 to 10 day

Weekend Storm Brewing

Extended model runs are still suggesting a fairly robust storm moving in by the end of the week/weekend. Heavy moisture and cold temps could play a part in some fairly significant wintry precipitation. It’ll be one to watch! Stay tuned for more!

2.18.15 wknd storms

Precipitation Outlook

According to NOAA’s HPC, the 5 day precipitation suggests nearly 2″ to 4″ of liquid across parts of the Middle Mississippi/Tennessee/Ohio Valley. It appears that temperatures will be warm enough for some heavier rainfall potential, but there is also a chance that heavy snow could fall across some of the area.

2.18.15 NAT 5 day

Thanks for checking in and have a great rest of your week! Don’t forget to follow me on Twitter @TNelsonWX

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Ice Ice Baby

Duluth, MN

Despite the lack of snow across the Upper Midwest, the lack of cold is certainly not an issue. Take a look at the ice coverage from the western tip of Lake Superior looking NE toward the open waters (ice) of Lake Superior.

Great Lakes Ice Coverage

According to NOAA’s GLERL, the Great Lakes were nearly 77% ice covered as of Monday, February 16th. Interestingly, this is the 3rd highest ice coverage since 1996 (82%). The highest ice coverage was last year at 92.5%! At the start of February, only 38% of the Great Lakes were covered with ice, now almost double!

Peak Ice Coverage

A look at the peak ice coverage image below and you’ll see that last year (3-6-2014) the Great Lakes had it’s 3rd highest ice coverage since records began in 1973!

Make More Ice

This is a pretty siginificant blob of cold air across the eastern two-thirds of the nation. Unfortunately, some folks across the far north will have a tough time even getting above zero for daytime highs on Wednesday. However, wind chill values will be below zero for a much wider area early Wednesday!

Highs Wednesday

Here’s a look at what highs will look like on Wednesday. Note that several locations across the Upper Midwest will be in the single digits above and below zero, while some in the Lower Mississippi Valley will be in the 30s!

Highs From Average Wednesday

YIKES! That certainly is a big blob of cold weather isn’t it? Many spots east of the Rockies will be nearly -20F to -30F below average with highs along the Gulf Coast nearly -10F to -15F below average, including New Orleans for Ash Wednesday.

Cold Fat Tuesday

This was the EarthCam view of New Orleans during the Fat Tuesday celebrations. Note that most people were wearing coats as temperatures Tuesday morning dipped into the mid 30s with highs running nearly -15F below average!

National Weather Outlook

The cold air is not only plaguing much of the eastern half of the country, but it is also helping to drive storm systems. While the latest impulse of energy isn’t all that impressive, it is once again going to bring more snow to places in the Northeast.

Weekend Storm System?

Take a look at what models are projecting for later this week/weekend! Another blog of significant moisture across parts of the Mississippi/Tennessee/Ohio River Valley with the potential of more snow, sleet, freezing rain and heavy rain/storms along the Gulf Coast.

Precipitation Outlook

According to NOAA’s HPC, the precipitation outlook from AM Friday through AM Sunday suggests a fairly big blob of moisture in some of the same areas that just got hit with wintry weather earlier this week. It’ll be interesting to see how this storm develops and how far south our cold air is as this moisture moves in.

Weekend Precipitation Outlook

This is a brief glance at what we could be dealing with over the upcoming weekend. Again – the potential of a wintry mess could make for some significant travel problems across parts of the southern tier of the nation… stay tuned for more!

Thanks for checking in and have a great rest of your week! Don’t forget to follow me on Twitter @TNelsonWX